Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 2.044738e-05 0.000025 0.000029 0.000034 0.000040 0.000046 0.000053
2025-10-05 1.522289e-05 0.000020 0.000026 0.000034 0.000043 0.000053 0.000065
2025-10-12 1.178011e-05 0.000017 0.000024 0.000033 0.000045 0.000058 0.000075
2025-10-19 9.520965e-06 0.000015 0.000023 0.000033 0.000047 0.000063 0.000085
2025-10-26 8.355854e-06 0.000014 0.000023 0.000035 0.000051 0.000071 0.000097
2025-11-02 6.803725e-06 0.000013 0.000022 0.000034 0.000052 0.000075 0.000105
2025-11-09 5.278123e-06 0.000011 0.000020 0.000033 0.000052 0.000076 0.000110
2025-11-16 4.208970e-06 0.000010 0.000018 0.000032 0.000052 0.000079 0.000116
2025-11-23 3.487066e-06 0.000009 0.000017 0.000032 0.000053 0.000082 0.000124
2025-11-30 2.873285e-06 0.000008 0.000017 0.000031 0.000054 0.000086 0.000131
2025-12-07 2.278961e-06 0.000007 0.000015 0.000031 0.000054 0.000088 0.000136
2025-12-14 1.729622e-06 0.000006 0.000014 0.000029 0.000053 0.000088 0.000140
2025-12-21 1.228885e-06 0.000005 0.000013 0.000028 0.000053 0.000090 0.000145
2025-12-28 9.380737e-07 0.000004 0.000012 0.000028 0.000054 0.000094 0.000155
2026-01-04 6.954768e-07 0.000004 0.000011 0.000027 0.000055 0.000097 0.000163
2026-01-11 5.298843e-07 0.000003 0.000011 0.000027 0.000057 0.000102 0.000173
2026-01-18 4.633571e-07 0.000003 0.000011 0.000029 0.000060 0.000110 0.000188
2026-01-25 3.314594e-07 0.000003 0.000011 0.000028 0.000061 0.000113 0.000196
2026-02-01 2.037060e-07 0.000002 0.000010 0.000027 0.000060 0.000114 0.000200
2026-02-08 1.278856e-07 0.000002 0.000009 0.000026 0.000060 0.000116 0.000206
2026-02-15 8.512933e-08 0.000002 0.000008 0.000026 0.000061 0.000119 0.000215
2026-02-22 5.355069e-08 0.000002 0.000008 0.000026 0.000062 0.000123 0.000224
2026-03-01 2.823090e-08 0.000001 0.000007 0.000025 0.000061 0.000124 0.000230